Sideboard


Maybeboard


This version now has 11 one drops and 11 two drops, which is a very good ratio for opening hands. (60% chance of having at least one 1 drop and one 2 drop in hand.) With 24 lands and a need to curve out there is now 6 one mana card draw spells and 3 2 mana card draw spells. This seems to draw better this way.

You'll find that the cumulative probability starts to increase at a point of unacceptable diminishing return after you try 11 and 12. The calculations go this way:

Chance of drawing card at 11 (cards per 60): 77.8

[Cummulative:]

11 and 13 is a 64 percent chance,

11 and 12 is a 62 percent chance,

11 and 11 is a 60 percent chance,

11 and 10 is suddenly 56 percent, which means the breakpoint is at 11 and 11.

Edit: 10 and 12 is a 59.94 percent chance so it probably also works. I'm leaning more towards the full play-set of Impulse.

With 24 lands there is a 58% chance that we draw a hand with exactly 3 lands, but keep in mind that hands with 1 land and one copy of Otherworldly Gaze are still keepable in non-aggro matchups. Because Otherworldly Gaze has flashback it offers 6 cards of selection plus turn 2 draw step, making it a thing where the mulligan to look at 7 new cards feels the same as using gaze to look at 7 cards. Specifically if there is a dragon then these hands are a must keep, however, hand with a good set of answers and no dragon can also work because of the same idea.

(Probably only keep hands with Fiery Impulse or Dragon's Fire vs. Aggro, the latter of which requires 2 lands.)

Hands with good answers, (removal and counters) but no dragon and no card draw spells at all are risky. If you end up drawing a dragon and not enough land or end up not drawing a dragon then you might have a good opening game and then nothing. Remember that the chance of draw-stepping into a dragon with additional card draw from being-on-the-draw position is 39.1 percent. The chance that you also curve out on mana is 34 percent, which makes the cumulative probability (chance that both happen:) is a lowly 13 percent.

This kind of hand is only something I would consider if:

A) I've already mulliganed once and I have a board wipe in hand vs. aggro.

In this situation, you only need one more land to hit 4 lands, and 3 draw steps to make it: 78 percent chance there of casting Storm's Wrath on turn 4. If the hand also has Fiery Impulse, Dragon's Fire or even Sweltering Suns, then I would consider it a keep in a situation where a slower hand with card draw and a dragon might lose anyways. If you mulligan this hand away then your chance of getting a Storm's Wrath goes back to 40%.

Three lands and a dragon means all of your Silumgar's Scorn and Dragon's Fire work. May you always have an Impulse to go with it. :)

Added Sweltering Suns, it has cycling, thereby it isn't a completely dead card in the slow matchups. I felt like I needed more help in the Phoenix matchup and the boros heroic matchup.

In a different meta game with less aggro decks it would be Dig Through Time instead of Sweltering Suns, hands-down.

Storm's Wrath, Fiery Impulse, and Dragon's Fire and Sweltering Suns as removal: total 13 spells.

Silumgar's Scorn, Spell Pierce and Confounding Riddle as counterspells: total 8 spells.

Otherworldly Gaze, Consider, Confounding Riddle, Impulse, Sweltering Suns, Iymrith, Desert Doom and Niv-Mizzet, Parun as card draw/card advantage: total 19 spells.

Iymrith, Desert Doom, Bonehoard Dracosaur as threats: total of 6 cards.

24 lands with the Sulfur Falls theme + 10 island/mountains that make falls come in un-tapped. The goal is to always be able to cast turn 1 Otherworldly Gaze, thus the 6 Islands. There is also turn 2 double blue mana requirement of Silumgar's Scorn.

I replaced Field of Ruin with Spirebluff Canal because I have castable from hand removal.

I found that cards like Thrill of Possibility in the 2 mana card draw slot are better for delving Dig Through Time but not as good at digging for a dragon in hand. Discarding one to draw 2 gets you the equivalent of hand parity, (hand is the same size afterwards,) but only gives you the next 2 cards, whereas Impulse gives you 4 cards of selection and also hand-size parity.

The ideal line is to play your hand down to 1-2 cards, (or none,) before attacking with Iymrith, Desert Doom, which maximizes the card draw effectiveness of that dragon, whereas cruise instead of dig taps you out at sorcery speed and might get you pointless lands in hand which only leads to the dragon drawing you less cards.

Using a hypergeometric calculator is good for people.

Sideboard Plans

Rakdos Midrange

Take out 2 Fiery Impulse

In 2 Negate

The idea is that Fiery Impulse is too weak against too large of a portion of the creatures. However, stopping Thoughtseize and sideboard cards like Go Blank, as well as Duress, Dreadbore and Liliana of the Veil. The deck has a bunch of non-creature stuff in the side. Fiery Impulse as a late draw is just not probable to be good.

Its possible to take out 1 Censor versus this deck if we have to go to post-board games on the draw. Throwing in something like Test of Talents is an idea. Or Unlicensed Hearse

Izzet Pheonix

Out 2 Confounding Riddle

In 2 Unlicensed Hearse

Not being able to resolve Storm's Wrath means we lose. Having counterspells for Lightning Axe after we attack with Iymrith, Desert Doom and she loses ward (4) is the other way to lose. Thereby alling in on Storm's Wrath as a way to wipe the Arclight Phoenix and then attacking with dragon is the way to go. After that Hearse. Anytime we can eliminate the effect of their card advantage by using un-counterable counterspells its even better. The thing they do with all of those 1 mana card draw spells is have card advantage all the time.. It makes it likely that they will counterspell in response to a counterspell. Because of that Counterflux. Because of how much card draw they have its entirely likely post-board that they'll have 1 or 2 in hand to respond to our stop on Lightning Axe with.

Mono-Green

Out 3 Fiery Impulse

Out 1 Sweltering Suns

In 2 Alpine Moon

In 2 Negate

Very obvious choices to make here. Handling Nykthos, Shrine to Nyx with Alpine Moon.

Rakdos Sacrifice

Board nothing here potentially.

Mono-white humans

Out 2 Confounding Riddle

Out 1 Otherworldly Gaze

In 3 Rending Volley

Lotus Field

Out 4 Fiery Impulse

Out 1 Sweltering Suns

In 1 Test of Talents

In 2 Alpine Moon

In 1 Counterflux

In 1 Summary Dismissal

A lot of Ammo for this matchup. Counterflux with overload is great here. The Summary Dismissal play on Dragonlord Dromoka is key for us to be able to counterspell win-cons. We have to count on Dragon's Fire or Storm's Wrath to remove Lier, Disciple of the Drowned. We just have to remember that mastermind's aquisition can fetch from the exile zone. <3

Azorious Control

Out 4 Fiery Impulse

Out 1 Sweltering Suns

In 2 Counterflux

In 2 Negate

In 1 Summary Dismissal

Just more counterspells for the control matchup. Tapping out for Supreme Verdict becomes a potential mistake postboard.

Boros Convoke

Out 1 Consider

Out 1 Dig Through Time

Out 2 Confounding Riddle

In 2 Electrickery

In 2 Rending Volley

Another aggro matchup. Rending Volley is possible to be a dead card vs. Red creature tokens but it hits their big threats. Electrickery is the key to victory.

Abzan Greasefang

Out 4 Fiery Impulse

Out 1 Sweltering Suns

In 2 Negate

In 3 Rending Volley

Just lowering our CMC here and volley for greasefang.

Bring to Light Tibalt

Out 4 Fiery Impulse

Out 1 Sweltering Suns

In 1 Test of Talents

In 2 Counterflux

In 2 Negate

Again, Fiery Impulse doesn't finish anything big here off.

Spirits

Out 1 Consider

Out 3 Confounding Riddle

In 3 Rending Volley

In 1 Counterflux

Spirits too fast. Since we can't really wait them out until we have enough counterspell ammo in hand to win a big stack, we have to just go for Rending Volley, which is un-counterable.

Boros Heroic

Out 2 Confounding Riddle

Out 1 Dig Through Time

In 3 Rending Volley

Mono-blue spirits

Out 2 Confounding Riddle

Out 1 Consider

In 3 Rending Volley

Creativity

Out 4 Storm's Wrath

In 1 Test of Talents

In 2 Counterflux

In 1 Negate

If you'd prefer to leave the Fiery Impulse in to hit fable then that makes sense as well. Its probably Storm's Wrath that comes out here.

Suggestions

Updates Add

I did better than ever before at FNM.

I won the first round vs. Boros Convoke 2-1

I lost the 2nd round 1-2 vs. Izzet Pheonix.

I lost the third round vs. Boros heroic 1-2.

However thats 4 total games won which is better by a lot than the other decks I was using.

The change to 3 mountains and 2 field of ruins was motivated by boros heroic being so aggro. Having Sulfur Falls come in untapped is more important.

I was playing the 7 dragon 4 impulse 3 fiery impulse and 2 counterflux version because my tcg player order of 4 otherworldly gaze and 1 more firey impulse as well as my order of 3 confounding riddles is still in the mail.

The change to 1 negate in the side rather than disdainful stroke is motivated by a need to win counterspell battles vs izzet Pheonix.

That is all.

I'm trans and I've been on estrogen for 2 years. I have a carpentry job and this is what I do for fun.

Comments

Casual

83% Competitive

Revision 23 See all

(2 weeks ago)

-1 Consider main
+1 Impulse main
Date added 10 months
Last updated 2 weeks
Legality

This deck is Pioneer legal.

Rarity (main - side)

6 - 0 Mythic Rares

23 - 7 Rares

6 - 4 Uncommons

18 - 4 Commons

Cards 60
Avg. CMC 2.69
Tokens Dinosaur 3/1 R, Treasure
Folders Decks that I will buy
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