Analysis of Out of these 4 Trade Propositions, which would you choose?
Economics forum
Posted on Dec. 24, 2014, 3:03 a.m. by jeffjair09
Below are four trades I am dealing with, with the same person. It seems even on my end, since I am mostly offering up my fetch lands and Sarkhan and other stuff, but on the other side is just random Modern cards. I am interested equally in all four trade, and I do like the cards that I am getting equally. My question is, in the long-run in terms of value, and playability, etc, which trade is better? Much analysis is appreciative. :)
FIRST TRADE Proposition:
My:
1x Sarkhan, the Dragonspeaker $16.73, 1x Bloodstained Mire $11.03, 2x Windswept Heath $13.84 each, 3x Mantis Rider $1.86 each, 1x Jeskai Ascendancy 2.44, 4x See the Unwritten $2.18 each, 1x Rakshasa Deathdealer $0.98, 6x Sagu Mauler $0.69 each, 3x Bloodsoaked Champion $1.52 each, 1x Empty the Pits $1.28, 3x End Hostilities $1.74 each
Total Value: $88.31
His:
1x Gwendlyn Di Corci $25.59, 1x Elesh Norn, Grand Cenobite $26.97, 1x Abrupt Decay $10.44, 1x Land Tax (4th) $12.59, 1x Serum Visions $7.16, 1x Thalia, Guardian of Thraben $4.27
Total Value: $87.02
SECOND TRADE Proposition:
My:
1x Sarkhan, the Dragonspeaker $16.73, 1x Windswept Heath $13.94, 3x Bloodsoaked Champion $1.49
Total Value: $35.14
His:
1x Sacred Foundry $10.52, 1x Blood Crypt $7.71, 1x Archangel of Thune $13.65, 1x Graypelt Refuge (Foil) $0.73, 1x Mistveil Plains $2.18, 1x Arcane Sanctum $1.61
Total Value: $36.40
THIRD TRADE Proposition:
My:
1x Sarkhan, the Dragonspeaker $16.73, 1x Windswept Heath $13.94, 1x Windswept Heath $13.94
Total Value: $44.61
His:
1x Eldrazi Conscription $8.79, 1x Idyllic Tutor $14.5, 1x Phyrexian Tower $13.99, 1x Bloodghast $8.15
Total Value: $45.43
FOURTH TRADE Proposition:
My:
1x Windswept Heath $13.92, 1x Wooded Foothills $11.39, 1x Bloodstained Mire $11.04, 1x Arcane Lighthouse $1.00
Total Value: $37.35
His:
1x Arcbound Ravager $17.99, 1x Blinkmoth Nexus $10.53, 1x Memnarch $7.08
Total Value: $35.6
Hjaltrohir says... #3
I would go for no1 but see if you can replace Gwendlyn Di Corci for some of the shocklands in trade no2
December 24, 2014 5:13 a.m.
APPLE01DOJ says... #4
what awesomeguy37 said!
1st trade. Would rather have shocks then Gwendlyn Di Corci
December 24, 2014 9:53 a.m.
i'm going against the grain here. unless you are planning an EDH deck around Gwendlyn Di Corci or are a collector and its in NM/M condition that is pretty much unmovable.
i'm not a huge fan of any trade in which you're giving up multiple fetches around their low point, but i would lean towards trade 2. Giving up 1 fetch and standard cards for 2 shocks and mythic angel that sees modern play is probably your best long term trade.
December 24, 2014 11:11 a.m.
JakeHarlow says... #6
They're all fair monetarily...though I'd be wary about letting go of fetches right now.
December 24, 2014 12:04 p.m.
Hickorysbane says... #7
I think trade 2 has the most long term value, but that outta be weighed against if you're planning on using any of the cards sometime soon.
December 24, 2014 12:44 p.m.
TheAnnihilator says... #8
Yeh, I just wouldn't let go of your fetches... That or trade them to me! But yeah, try to offload the standard stuff for Modern stuff. My 2 cents.
December 24, 2014 6:46 p.m.
Femme_Fatale says... #9
It is okay to let go of your fetches. Confirmed reprints in FRF.
December 25, 2014 2:20 a.m.
Confirmed reprinted "maybe" "rarely" behind two different chances both coming up true. I wouldn't be surprised if FRF puts maybe 5% of the fetches into circulation that KTK did. All FRF fetches are going to do is MAYBE keep the price steady for a few months instead of slowly climbing already. This is hardly going to depress the value of fetches further.
December 25, 2014 3:37 p.m.
Femme_Fatale says... #11
A few months is more than ample enough time to pick up some more fetches.
December 25, 2014 3:52 p.m.
jeffjair09 says... #12
Thanks for everyone's input. I took the first deal. I am 70% collector and 30% player. I do like the Legends, Elesh Norn, and Land Tax, as well as Thalia (favorite Legendary creature). These cards will work well in white decks.
December 25, 2014 8:33 p.m.
I'd just be happy to have gotten 16.50 on a Sarkhan. I sell it at 15 in my shop.
Unforgivn_II says... #2
I like the first one, but I don't like Gwendlyn Di Corci. Unless you really plan on using her, she'll be hard to move. I was lucky I was able to find a collector who needed my Tetsuo Umezawa. Otherwise it'll just sit in your binder. The good news is that playable cards from Legends are exceedingly hard to find as time goes on, so its a fun collection piece.
The other trades are all pretty solid, but #1 seems the best, since you're getting rid of a bunch of standard jank for good cards. Just be wary of Gwendlyn
December 24, 2014 3:14 a.m.