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Said on 101% Mono Black …...

#1

Just realized I was the first one to comment on this deck and somehow didn't upvote, oops xD Now I did.

Looking at it right now I must say I like this version a lot! Maybe, just maybe, consider Profane Command for the Bond of Agony. Bond looks like a finisher in your deck and really isn't so flexible while costing you life as well. Profane Command can make up for the extra mana by resurrecting a Death Cultist or giving evasion to your dudes for example while otherwise being more flexible and less painful.

Bojuka Bog could go into the deck, but absolutely doesn't have to. It's a tapped land so there's opportunity cost and you already have an on-theme sideboard slot so it don't need to be there either. Just bringing it up for it to be on your radar.

Very nice deck indeed!

November 23, 2022 10:37 a.m.

Said on Glimpse Combo...

#2

Dayum! Nice deck +1

I have a gut feel this build is not optimal, but you've inspired me to try and brew something based on this, and thanks for that. Hadn't been inspired in a looong time. Really well done so far

November 23, 2022 5:42 a.m.

The first time, you have a 1/60 chance of drawing your given card. If that's not it, you now have a 1/59 chance, and so on and so forth until you draw it.

This is false. Spoiler: the two methods line up mathematically and give the same result. Here's how:

Let's simplify the problem, cause I'm a lazy person. The problem is now one card out of a deck of four cards. One method is to look at the top 2, but I'm not getting into that since we already agree this method gives the desired outcome.

Now, when you're looking at one card at a time, the chance for the first card are 1/4. Easy. The second card is trickier, since we must account for also the first card in the case that WASN'T our card. If we didn_t do that we'd just pretend to be using a three-card-deck, but we're not. This is a four card deck!

So instead of adding 1/4+1/3 and notice it's not 0.5, we do the real math:

1/4 + (1/3)*(3/4) = 0.5

Since our odds of drawing the card on the first draw are 1/4, the odds of NOT DRAWING IT are 3/4, and we need to adjust our second draw by this factor. If our deck was bigger, we'd have to adjust more draws accordingly.

November 9, 2022 10:40 a.m.

Specialties

Modern - Competitive, Modern - Jank

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Finished Decks 31
Prototype Decks 24
Drafts 0
Playing since Shards of Alara
Points 110
Avg. deck rating 53.17
T/O Rank 216
Helper Rank 155
Favorite formats Modern
Suppressed formats Standard, Pre-release, Commander / EDH, Casual, Block Constructed, Limited, Duel Commander, Highlander, Leviathan, 1v1 Commander, Canadian Highlander, Brawl, Arena, Oldschool 93/94, Historic, Gladiator, Commander: Rule 0
Cards suggested / good suggestions 286 / 203
Last activity 4 days
Joined 8 years