Maybeboard


Description

Mashup of the Swans of Bryn Argoll + Seismic Assault combo, Modern Lands, and Assault Loam. This combo/control deck is much more resilient than 42-Land Swan Hunt (which dies horribly to hand disruption) and sacrifices very little speed.

Seismic Assault (preferably played first) + Swans of Bryn Argoll is the headliner combo

  1. Discard a land to deal 2 damage to Swans
  2. Swans draws us 2 cards
  3. Repeat 1. and 2. until we draw our deck
  4. Discard 10 lands to deal 20 damage to opponent

Since the deck has more lands than nonlands, we draw 1.3 lands on average. Once we find Dakmor Salvage, we keep discarding and dredging it instead, which draws 1.65 lands on average. Since, on average, we draw more than one land per land discarded, we can usually keep drawing until we draw the whole deck. However, it is possible to get unlucky drawing double nonlands and run out of lands. It is also possible to end up with less than 10 lands. Overall we have a 90% chance of getting 10 lands.

Even without 10 lands, we can still win with Life from the Loam next turn. Also if we combo off with an extra available, we can cast Life from the Loam with Simian Spirit Guide to complete the combo, even if we only manage to draw 7 lands. If we only have , Treasure Hunt works too but is riskier. See below for more on the math.

Loam + Assault/Molten Vortex is a backup combo dealing 6 damage/turn, which typically kills turn 5 (occasionally turn 4)

Loam + Worm Harvest dumps lands into the grave and gives us that many Worms every turn. This backup combo provides inevitability against control/midrange, ensuring we can win through any amount of discard/removal. Harvest is also the preferred win condition if we fail to start with Assault or Vortex because drawing into one is much slower than Loaming into Harvest.

Loam + Sheltered Thicket dredges unlimited cards and draws unlimited lands. Holding Thicket in hand also protects Loam from removal

Commune with the Gods fetches both of our combo pieces, Loam, Worm Harvest, Thicket, and Dakmor Salvage. Sometimes it produces a lethal Worm Harvest by itself.

Treasure Hunt digs for our spells while also filling our hand with lands to pitch to Assault or Worm Harvest.

Dakmor Salvage lets us cut lands, while still increasing our combo chance (read how in Headliner Combo). It also ensures a land every turn for Worm Harvest, or even Assault in a pinch.

Don't be deceived by the low spell count. Since color fixing is hardly an issue in this deck, we can play 16 utility lands. Some of these (e.g. Ghost Quarter) are even more powerful than spells.

Dakmor Salvage is the most important card in the deck! It lets us cut lands, while still increasing our combo chance (read how in Headliner Combo). It also ensures a land every turn for Worm Harvest, or even Assault in a pinch.

Halimar Depths is a Ponder that counts as a land

Sheltered Thicket + Life from the Loam dredges unlimited cards and draws unlimited lands. Holding Thicket in hand also protects Loam from removal

Gemstone Caverns is a Simian Spirit Guide that counts as a land

Ghost Quarter/Tectonic Edge are silver bullets against Tron

Lumbering Falls/Treetop Village provide inevitability if we run out of lands. Also Lumbering Falls is very difficult for control decks (our greatest weakness post-sideboard) to answer

Bojuka Bog is a silver bullet for Dredge and other grave-reliant matchups

Fetch and basic lands are important against Blood Moon

These are in the Maybeboard:

Horizon Canopy protects Life from the Loam from grave hate

Haunted Fengraf lets us recur Swans and combo-off, if we've been skipping our draw to dredge Loam every turn. This is actually one of the fastest ways to find Swans. But if we already have Loam, it only takes 2 additional turns (less if we have Sheltered Thicket/Horizon Canopy) to deal 18 damage.

Tolaria West tutors up any of our silver bullets

39 lands is the exact number we want for the combo. With 39+ lands, we have over 95% chance to swan-combo-draw 10 lands for the kill, before decking ourselves. With 38 lands (34 remaining after playing 4), this sharply drops to 34% chance (see table below). Of course, this assumes we played exactly 4 lands (35 lands remaining), didn't fetch, didn't burn any creatures, and need to deal 19/20 damage.

Adding a single Dakmor Salvage makes it possible to combo with less than 39 lands (chance to combo with 38 lands total - 34 remaining - rises from 34% to 75%). I suspect that knowing when to draw 2 or dredge Dakmor might further increase our chances, though I haven't done the math.

Chance of reaching 10 lands, depending on the number of Dakmor Salvages and total lands in the deck Show

Also keep in mind that even if we fail to reach 10 lands, we're guaranteed to Loam for the kill next turn. Also if we combo off with an extra available, we can cast Life from the Loam with Simian Spirit Guide to complete the combo, even if we only manage to draw 7 lands. If we only have , Treasure Hunt works too but is riskier.

Chalice of the Void is great against control (our greatest weakness), incl. Death's Shadow, Abzan, Jeskai, as well as Storm

Anger of the Gods is great against our toughest combo matchups, Dredge and Affinity, and any stray creature decks

Swan Song is our only way to stop non-creature combos, Tron, Storm, and Scapeshift

Reclamation Sage gets rid of Leyline of Sanctity while dodging all the most popular counterspells (which hit other A/E removal), Stubborn Denial, Dispel, Spell Pierce, Negate, Spell Snare, and Swan Song.

Countryside Crusher is bad. Our deck currently contains no creatures to kill (we can win with Swans in response to removal). Crusher just makes our opponents' 8 (on average, I counted) creature removal spells useful again.

Serum Visions. Our deck doesn't have many threats. Scrying 2 isn't going to help with that.

Suggestions

Updates Add

Chalice of the Void is great against control (our greatest weakness), Death's Shadow, Abzan, Jeskai, as well as Storm

Anger of the Gods is great against our toughest (creature-based) combo matchups, Dredge and Affinity, and any stray creature decks like CoCo.

Engineered Explosives is great against our other toughest matchups, Death's Shadow and Affinity

Negate is our only way to stop non-creature combos, Tron, Storm, and Scapeshift

Mana Leak is all-purpose good against combo decks.

Bojuka Bog is our way of dealing with graveyard strategies like Death's Shadow, Dredge, and Abzan without reducing our land count.

Worm Harvest is almost unbeatable against control, Death's Shadow, Abzan, Jeskai, until they side in Surgical Extraction.

Reclamation Sage gets rid of Leyline of Sanctity while dodging their all the most popular counterspells (which hit other A/E removal), Stubborn Denial, Dispel, Spell Pierce, Negate, Spell Snare, and Swan Song.

We're already favored against creature combos and slower aggro due to Seismic Assault and Molten Vortex, so we don't need to side too much for those.

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Compare to inventory
Date added 1 year
Last updated 4 months
Exclude colors WB
Splash colors WB
Legality

This deck is Modern legal.

Cards 60
Avg. CMC 2.62
Tokens 1/1 Worm
Folders Competitive Modern, For the future, Nice Decks, Deck Ideas, LandFall, Ideas, Decks I like!, Lands (Modern/Standard), Interested, _Interesting decks from other people, See all 23
Top rank #16 on 2017-04-26
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Revision 17 See all

4 months ago)

-2 Ghost Quarter main
+2 Fire-Lit Thicket main
-2 Mana Confluence main
+3 Field of Ruin main
-1 Gemstone Caverns main